By Mike Small (part of our #IndyIdeas series)
Each week up until the RIC conference we’ll be writing and commissioning practical movement-building suggestions and ideas. Here’s our first.
Nobody’s going back in any box. Six weeks on and it’s getting clearer and clearer that the post-defeat ‘surge’ wasn’t just an expression of a thrawn celtic obstinacy – but a new political awakening. Far from being a terminal defeat, Sept 18 is looking like a turning point, a generational shift. We don’t yet know quite the detail of how or when but we know we will. The Smith Commission will be seen as a shallow step – in a grand staircase.
This from the Press Association:
“Scotland would vote yes to independence if another referendum were held today – just six weeks after a majority voted no, a poll has found. Independence now has the backing of 52% of people in Scotland compared with 48% for the union, a YouGov poll for the Times has found.
When those who would not vote or do not know are included, the split is 49% for yes and 45% for no, the poll of 1,078 Scottish adults between 27 and 30 October found. Two-fifths of people think a second poll will be held within the next 10 years, slightly more (45%) want this to happen but 16% never want another one, the poll found. It comes on the back of a separate Ipsos Mori poll for STV on Friday which found two-thirds of Scots want another independence referendum within the next 10 years while more than half think a vote on the country’s future should take place within just five years. Saturday’s YouGov/Times poll also found 43% of Labour supporters now back independence, with only 22% saying Labour represents their interests well against 65% who say it represents them badly. Data from the same poll released on Friday suggests the party is facing a near wipeout in Scotland, with the SNP enjoying a 16-point lead on Westminster voting intentions.”
We are the 52% and Rising.
This is a process of prehension – people are beginning to get a deeper sense of how power works in Britain. That’s going to inform a whole new phase to this movement.
Mistakes have been made and learnt from, mistakes of communication, tactics, and politics. Before Christmas there will be four stronger new media platforms that will give the movement a completely new scope, range and vitality.
There’s now a choice of political avenues forward in the next two years, and in the next few weeks new strategy will be agreed. But one that’s not been explored enough yet at all is one that’s a huge common area for all Yes supporters: Trident 2.
This is a moral obscenity. In a country facing poverty it’s a disgrace. It’s also illegal. In 1996 the International Court of Justice gave an advisory opinion which said:
“the threat or use of nuclear weapons would generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed conflict, and in particular the principles and rules of humanitarian law”.
The £100 billion Trident replacement decision is due to be made in 2016, we can come together and create a huge wave of opposition to this to back our elected representatives and fuel a mandate for peace.
Join Scottish CND here.
Book for the AGM here.